Studies to Estimate Expected Genetic Gain in Seven Rice (Oryza sativa L.) Crosses
Elias Jeke *
Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, P.O. Box 219, Lilongwe, Malawi and Department of Agricultural Research Services, Lifuwu Agricultural Research Station, P.O. Box 102, Salima, Malawi.
James Bokosi
Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, P.O. Box 219, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Rosemary Murori
International Rice Research Institute Kenya, IRRI–ESA Africa Regional Office, P.O. Box 30709, Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.
Maxwell Darko Asante
CSIR–Council for Scientific and Industrial Research-Crops Research Institute, P.O. Box 3785, Fumesua- Kumasi, Ghana and CSIR–Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, College of Science and Technology, Ghana.
Kingsley Masamba
Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, P.O. Box 219, Lilongwe, Malawi.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Rice (Oryza sativa L.) is a staple food for more than half of the world’s population, and enhancing its yield, grain quality, and adaptability remains a central goal in most breeding programmes. Genetic gain is defined as the improvement in mean performance of a population across selection cycles and is a fundamental indicator of breeding progress. This study was conducted to estimate expected genetic gain in four key rice traits from backcross populations, together with F3 progenies and their parents. The experiment was conducted at Lifuwu Agricultural Research Station, which is located 8.5 km off Senga Bay Road and lies at an altitude of 500 m above sea level (masl). A total of 22 plant materials were evaluated during the 2025/2026 rainy season, comprising seven BC1F2 populations, eight F3 progenies, and seven parental lines. The backcross populations were developed during the 2024/2025 rainy season by crossing F2 populations with the recurrent parents, producing BC1F1 generations. These were selfed and multiplied during the 2025 irrigated season to generate BC1F2 populations, which were used in the current study. Trials were established to assess genetic gain in yield, plant height, days to maturity, and grain quality. The experiment was conducted using a Randomised Complete Block Design (RCBD) with three replications. Each plot measured 5 m × 0.4 m, with a row spacing of 20 cm and a plant-to-plant spacing of 20 cm within the rows. The study provides insights into the effectiveness of backcrossing for accelerating trait improvement in rice breeding programmes in Malawi.
Keywords: Rice breeding, genetic gain, broad-sense heritability, genetic advance, backcrossing, grain yield, trait correlation, principal component analysis, cluster analysis